LMPS vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LMPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
LMP
0 - 1
LCS
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
LMP
2 - 0
LFC
41%
26%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
LMP
1 - 2
BAN
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LMP
1 - 1
LUF
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
LMP
3 - 2
LFC
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
MZA
0 - 1
LIO
19%
22%
60%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
LIN
0 - 2
LIO
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
LIO
3 - 3
MAT
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LIO
3 - 1
BAN
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
LIO
3 - 0
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |