4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Lliçà de Vall B vs Alella CF A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
39%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lliçà de Vall B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
JOV
3 - 2
LDV
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LDV
13 - 0
DOS
86%
9%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MON
0 - 3
LDV
8%
13%
80%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LDV
3 - 1
MAS
48%
21%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAB
0 - 3
LDV
6%
12%
82%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alella CF A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
DOS
0 - 4
ACF
14%
16%
69%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ACF
3 - 0
MON
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MAS
2 - 1
ACF
34%
21%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ACF
3 - 0
CAB
89%
8%
4%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AFA
0 - 0
ACF
51%
20%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |