Llers vs Navata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
57.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
POR
4 - 0
LLE
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LLE
4 - 1
SLM
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CBC
0 - 0
LLE
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LLE
1 - 3
LLA
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SEL
4 - 1
LLE
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Navata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
NAV
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NAV
4 - 1
SLM
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CBC
1 - 3
NAV
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 1
LLA
52%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SEL
0 - 3
NAV
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |