Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 2
CAM
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 0
LLA
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
PON
26%
27%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
TAF
3 - 0
LLA
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 0
LID
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 1
CWM
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
TAF
68%
18%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
AAF
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 0
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |