Llanidloes Town FC vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
16º
12º
82
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanidloes Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 2
LLA
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 1
BUC
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 1
LLA
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 2
LLA
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 2
CON
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
RTW
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 3
COL
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BST
1 - 4
COL
4%
9%
87%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
PRE
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 4
COL
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |