Llanfair United vs Llanuwchllyn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanfair United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 3
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
POR
1 - 3
LLA
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
2 - 3
COL
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
2 - 2
LLA
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LLA
1 - 3
LLA
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Llanuwchllyn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 4
DEN
7%
11%
82%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 3
RTW
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | -1 |