Llanes vs U.Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PCF
1 - 2
LLA
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
4 - 0
TIN
57%
23%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 0
LLA
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 1
CAM
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MOS
1 - 1
LLA
27%
25%
47%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
U.Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
ROC
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BOA
3 - 0
COM
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
TUR
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
COM
2 - 4
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PCF
0 - 0
COM
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |