Llanes vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LEA
1 - 0
LLA
33%
28%
40%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LLA
3 - 0
SIE
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 0
LLA
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LLA
1 - 0
GIN
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MOS
1 - 1
LLA
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
COV
1 - 0
SIE
48%
25%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GIN
0 - 2
COV
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
COV
1 - 1
CUD
36%
26%
38%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CON
2 - 4
COV
50%
25%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
COV
0 - 2
CAU
35%
26%
38%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |