Llaneros vs Universitario Popayán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
RSC
1 - 1
LLA
35%
28%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
BOG
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CUC
5 - 0
LLA
50%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 3
REA
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
LLA
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 1
BAR
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
UNI
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |