Llaneros vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 0
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 0
LLA
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
LLA
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 1
LLA
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 2
RIO
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 0
SFE
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
SFE
3 - 1
EQU
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
SFE
2 - 0
FOR
69%
20%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 0
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 2
SFE
13%
21%
67%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |