Primera B Apertura . Jor. 5

Llaneros vs Real Cartagena analysis

Llaneros Real Cartagena
75 ELO 67
-12.4% Tilt -22.6%
595º General ELO ranking 1276º
20º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
55%
Llaneros
25.5%
Draw
19.5%
Real Cartagena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
Llaneros
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19.5%
Win probability
Real Cartagena
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Llaneros
+1%
-3%
Real Cartagena

Points and table prediction

Llaneros
Their league position
Real Cartagena
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
26
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atlético Huila
39
39
100%
Cúcuta Deportivo
32
32
100%
Llaneros
29
29
100%
Tigres FC
27
27
0%
Unión Magdalena
27
27
0%
Real Cartagena
26
26
100%
Orsomarso SC
25
25
100%
Deportes Quindío
22
22
100%
Boca Juniors de Cali
10º
22
22
100%
Internacional de Palmira
22
22
10º
100%
Real Cundinamarca
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Barranquilla
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Leones
13º
14
14
13º
0%
Bogotá
14º
14
14
14º
0%
Real Santander
15º
8
8
15º
100%
Atlético Fútbol Club
16º
5
5
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Llaneros
Real Cartagena
Next round
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Llaneros
Real Cartagena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Llaneros
Llaneros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2024
AFC
Atlético Fútbol Club
0 - 3
Llaneros
LLA
19%
30%
51%
74 57 17 0
17 Feb. 2024
LLA
Llaneros
1 - 2
Internacional de Palmira
COR
61%
24%
15%
74 63 11 0
13 Feb. 2024
UNI
Unión Magdalena
1 - 1
Llaneros
LLA
47%
27%
25%
74 72 2 0
03 Feb. 2024
LLA
Llaneros
2 - 0
Boca Juniors de Cali
BJC
70%
21%
10%
74 56 18 0
11 Nov. 2023
LLA
Llaneros
1 - 0
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
39%
26%
35%
73 75 2 +1

Matches

Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2024
CAR
Real Cartagena
3 - 0
Bogotá
BOG
57%
24%
20%
66 60 6 0
17 Feb. 2024
CAR
Real Cartagena
1 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
29%
28%
44%
65 76 11 +1
13 Feb. 2024
HUI
Atlético Huila
2 - 0
Real Cartagena
CAR
47%
26%
27%
66 66 0 -1
03 Feb. 2024
CAR
Real Cartagena
2 - 0
Internacional de Palmira
COR
47%
26%
27%
65 64 1 +1
12 Nov. 2023
CAR
Real Cartagena
1 - 1
Leones
LEO
30%
22%
48%
65 68 3 0
X