Llaneros vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
LLA
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 4
QUI
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 0
LLA
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 1
BUC
28%
29%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 2
QUI
19%
27%
54%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 0
BOG
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 1
BUC
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOG
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 1
AFC
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |