Llaneros de Guanare vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
LLA
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
LLA
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ZUL
3 - 3
LLA
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
ARA
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 1
TRU
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ANZ
0 - 1
ARA
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
MIR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |