Llanelli AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
LLA
1 - 3
ABE
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LLA
6 - 2
GCQ
86%
10%
5%
|
65 | 21 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
LLA
4 - 2
CAE
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
HAV
1 - 1
LLA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LLA
7 - 0
NEW
76%
15%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ABE
0 - 0
TNS
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
TNS
2 - 0
POR
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 4
TNS
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
POR
2 - 2
TNS
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |