Ljutomer vs Šampion Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
12º
11º
37
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
98% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ljutomer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ZAV
1 - 1
LJU
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LJU
2 - 1
POD
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
LJU
0 - 0
BEL
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
5 - 1
LJU
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LJU
0 - 2
TOL
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Šampion Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 2
NKP
55%
19%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZAV
4 - 3
CEL
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
5 - 2
SMA
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ROG
4 - 2
CEL
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POD
1 - 0
CEL
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |