Livorno Sub 19 vs Perugia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 1
PER
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CCS
1 - 2
LIV
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 2
VIR
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 0
LIV
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 1
JUV
7%
15%
78%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | +3 |
Matches
Perugia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 1
PER
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
ASC
37%
23%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 0
PER
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
ASC
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 5
PER
9%
17%
74%
|
21 | 5 | 16 | 0 |