Scottish Championship Round 6

Livingston vs Raith Rovers analysis

Livingston Raith Rovers
59 ELO 56
10.3% Tilt 9%
525º General ELO ranking 1076º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Livingston
20.7%
Draw
14.6%
Raith Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
Livingston
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Livingston
+7%
+13%
Raith Rovers

ELO progression

Livingston
Raith Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2014
LIV
Livingston
4 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
62%
22%
16%
59 55 4 0
06 Sep. 2014
PET
Peterhead
0 - 1
Livingston
LIV
45%
25%
31%
58 60 2 +1
30 Aug. 2014
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Livingston
LIV
43%
24%
33%
59 54 5 -1
26 Aug. 2014
LIV
Livingston
1 - 0
Queen of the South
QOS
38%
24%
38%
58 63 5 +1
23 Aug. 2014
QOS
Queen of the South
1 - 1
Livingston
LIV
57%
23%
20%
58 63 5 0

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2014
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 4
Rangers
GLA
21%
24%
55%
56 73 17 0
30 Aug. 2014
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 3
Raith Rovers
RAI
53%
23%
24%
54 53 1 +2
26 Aug. 2014
DUN
Dundee
4 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
67%
21%
12%
55 69 14 -1
23 Aug. 2014
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 4
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
35%
27%
39%
56 65 9 -1
16 Aug. 2014
ALL
Alloa Athletic
0 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
42%
26%
31%
56 53 3 0