Livingston vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
3º
2º
63
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 2
LIV
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LIV
3 - 0
QUE
61%
24%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIV
16%
25%
59%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
QUE
0 - 5
LIV
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
LIV
1 - 0
FAL
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
AYR
1 - 1
FAL
28%
25%
48%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RAI
1 - 0
AYR
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AYR
3 - 0
DUN
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
AYR
1 - 1
HAM
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 0
AYR
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |