Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 2
LIV
42%
26%
32%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
WOL
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BHA
1 - 2
LIV
21%
26%
53%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOT
4 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
STO
1 - 0
LIV
29%
27%
44%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 0
NOR
87%
10%
3%
|
96 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 3
BAS
81%
13%
6%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STO
1 - 1
MUD
10%
19%
71%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 3
MUD
11%
19%
70%
|
96 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |