Liverpool vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
SHW
2 - 1
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEE
63%
19%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
ASV
2 - 3
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
LIV
3 - 0
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1929 |
OPA
3 - 3
LIV
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
BUR
1 - 1
WHU
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BUR
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 1
GRI
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
BBU
8 - 3
BUR
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |