Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
MAC
4 - 0
LIV
45%
23%
32%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
LIV
4 - 0
CRY
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
20%
22%
58%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2020 |
LIV
6 - 0
BBU
87%
10%
4%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 3
ATM
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 1
WOL
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
ASV
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHL
14%
19%
68%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 0
SHE
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
LEI
4 - 0
ASV
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |