Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 0
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
WIG
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
QPR
3 - 2
LIV
16%
26%
58%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
STO
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
3 - 0
EVE
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ASV
2 - 4
CHL
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 0
ASV
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ASV
1 - 0
FUL
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BBU
1 - 1
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
WIG
0 - 0
ASV
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |