Lithuania U21 vs Turkmenistán Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UKR
3 - 0
LTU
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
LTU
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LVA
0 - 1
LTU
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 3
FIN
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
3 - 4
LTU
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Turkmenistán Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
MDA
2 - 1
TUK
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TUK
1 - 1
TAY
18%
21%
61%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
TUK
1 - 3
KIR
19%
21%
61%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RUS
0 - 0
TUK
90%
8%
2%
|
10 | 73 | 63 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
KAZ
3 - 1
TUK
81%
14%
5%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | 0 |