Lithuania U21 vs Serbia y Montenegro Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
LTU
1 - 0
BIH
46%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
SYM
3 - 2
LTU
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 0
LTU
82%
14%
5%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
BIH
2 - 0
LTU
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
SMR
1 - 2
LTU
23%
22%
56%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia y Montenegro Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 0
SYM
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
SYM
3 - 2
LTU
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
SYM
1 - 1
BEL
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
SYM
1 - 0
ESP
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
BEL
4 - 0
SYM
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |