Lithuania U21 vs Latvia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
UKR
4 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
MDA
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
LTU
86%
11%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 2
LVA
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
3 - 0
LTU
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Latvia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
LVA
0 - 2
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
LVA
0 - 0
KAZ
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BLR
0 - 1
LVA
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 2
LVA
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
LVA
81%
14%
6%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | -1 |