European U21 Championship qualifying Group I Round 4

Lituania U21 vs Islandia U21 analysis

Lituania U21 Islandia U21
39 ELO 60
-21.5% Tilt -1.6%
7498º General ELO ranking 2803º
32º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
9.2%
Lituania U21
18.1%
Draw
72.7%
Islandia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
Lituania U21
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
72.7%
Win probability
Islandia U21
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lituania U21
-24%
+29%
Islandia U21

ELO progression

Lituania U21
Islandia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lituania U21
Lituania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2023
LTU
Lituania U21
2 - 3
Gales U21
WAL
9%
18%
73%
39 57 18 0
16 Jun. 2023
LTU
Lituania U21
1 - 2
Dinamarca U21
DEN
7%
17%
77%
39 74 35 0
20 Nov. 2022
LTU
Lituania U21
1 - 2
Letonia U21
LVA
34%
27%
39%
40 42 2 -1
16 Nov. 2022
EST
Estonia U21
5 - 1
Lituania U21
LTU
24%
24%
53%
43 30 13 -3
27 Sep. 2022
HUN
Hungría U21
1 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
68%
19%
13%
44 53 9 -1

Matches

Islandia U21
Islandia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2023
ISL
Islandia U21
2 - 1
República Checa U21
CZE
26%
23%
52%
59 70 11 0
07 Sep. 2023
FIN
Finlandia U21
2 - 3
Islandia U21
ISL
36%
26%
38%
58 56 2 +1
19 Jun. 2023
HUN
Hungría U21
0 - 1
Islandia U21
ISL
45%
25%
30%
57 56 1 +1
16 Jun. 2023
AUT
Austria U21
3 - 1
Islandia U21
ISL
77%
15%
9%
58 70 12 -1
26 Mar. 2023
IRL
Irlanda U21
2 - 1
Islandia U21
ISL
52%
24%
23%
59 62 3 -1