European U21 Championship qualifying Group H Round 1

Lituania U21 vs Hungría U21 analysis

Lituania U21 Hungría U21
38 ELO 53
-21.3% Tilt -3.5%
7498º General ELO ranking 4181º
32º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
14.4%
Lituania U21
21.2%
Draw
64.4%
Hungría U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
Lituania U21
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.4%
Win probability
Hungría U21
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lituania U21
-11%
-9%
Hungría U21

ELO progression

Lituania U21
Hungría U21
Turquía U21
Ucrania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lituania U21
Lituania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2025
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 2
Letonia U21
LVA
30%
25%
45%
40 44 4 0
15 Oct. 2024
CZE
República Checa U21
3 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
84%
13%
4%
40 70 30 0
10 Oct. 2024
ISL
Islandia U21
0 - 2
Lituania U21
LTU
84%
11%
5%
38 59 21 +2
06 Sep. 2024
LTU
Lituania U21
1 - 2
República Checa U21
CZE
5%
13%
82%
38 70 32 0
09 Jun. 2024
FIN
Finlandia U21
2 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
72%
17%
11%
39 54 15 -1

Matches

Hungría U21
Hungría U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2025
AUT
Austria U21
3 - 1
Hungría U21
HUN
79%
13%
7%
53 72 19 0
05 Jun. 2025
HUN
Hungría U21
1 - 2
Albania U21
ALB
46%
23%
31%
54 52 2 -1
24 Mar. 2025
HUN
Hungría U21
1 - 3
Irlanda U21
IRL
26%
25%
49%
55 63 8 -1
21 Mar. 2025
ISL
Islandia U21
3 - 0
Hungría U21
HUN
58%
21%
21%
56 59 3 -1
19 Nov. 2024
GRC
Grecia U21
1 - 1
Hungría U21
HUN
51%
24%
25%
56 60 4 0