European U21 Championship qualifying Group E Round 1

Lituania U21 vs Escocia U21 analysis

Lituania U21 Escocia U21
55 ELO 63
-2.4% Tilt -3.2%
7498º General ELO ranking 3791º
32º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
28.4%
Lituania U21
24.6%
Draw
47%
Escocia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
Lituania U21
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47%
Win probability
Escocia U21
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lituania U21
-24%
-4%
Escocia U21

ELO progression

Lituania U21
Escocia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lituania U21
Lituania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2003
GER
Alemania U21
1 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
81%
13%
6%
54 76 22 0
15 Oct. 2002
ISL
Islandia U21
1 - 2
Lituania U21
LTU
51%
23%
26%
53 53 0 +1
06 Sep. 2002
LTU
Lituania U21
1 - 4
Alemania U21
GER
17%
23%
60%
54 76 22 -1
04 Sep. 2001
GEO
Georgia U21
4 - 1
Lituania U21
LTU
54%
22%
24%
55 55 0 -1
31 Aug. 2001
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 3
Italia U21
ITA
10%
21%
70%
56 82 26 -1

Matches

Escocia U21
Escocia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2003
SCO
Escocia U21
1 - 0
Islandia U21
ISL
68%
19%
13%
63 52 11 0
11 Oct. 2002
ISL
Islandia U21
0 - 2
Escocia U21
SCO
29%
25%
46%
62 54 8 +1
05 Oct. 2001
SCO
Escocia U21
1 - 0
Letonia U21
LVA
69%
18%
13%
62 50 12 0
04 Sep. 2001
BEL
Bélgica U21
0 - 0
Escocia U21
SCO
64%
20%
16%
62 70 8 0
31 Aug. 2001
SCO
Escocia U21
1 - 1
Croacia U21
CRO
33%
25%
43%
62 69 7 0