European U19 Championship qualifying Qualifying Round Round 3

Lituania U19 vs Bielorrusia U19 analysis

Lituania U19 Bielorrusia U19
35 ELO 42
-1.6% Tilt 2.8%
22314º General ELO ranking 32147º
68º Country ELO ranking 126º
ELO win probability
16.3%
Lituania U19
20.8%
Draw
62.9%
Bielorrusia U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
Lituania U19
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.9%
Win probability
Bielorrusia U19
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Lituania U19
Bielorrusia U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lituania U19
Lituania U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
GRC
Grecia U19
2 - 1
Lituania U19
LTU
80%
13%
7%
32 54 22 0
15 Nov. 2023
TUR
Turquia U19
3 - 1
Lituania U19
LTU
82%
13%
6%
33 58 25 -1
27 Sep. 2022
LTU
Lituania U19
0 - 1
Letonia U19
LVA
16%
21%
63%
33 46 13 0
24 Sep. 2022
ROU
Rumanía U19
0 - 0
Lituania U19
LTU
78%
15%
7%
33 51 18 0
21 Sep. 2022
AUT
Austria U19
2 - 0
Lituania U19
LTU
89%
8%
2%
33 60 27 0

Matches

Bielorrusia U19
Bielorrusia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
TUR
Turquia U19
3 - 1
Bielorrusia U19
BLR
75%
16%
9%
45 58 13 0
15 Nov. 2023
BLR
Bielorrusia U19
1 - 0
Grecia U19
GRC
20%
21%
60%
44 55 11 +1
27 Sep. 2022
ARM
Armenia U19
1 - 1
Bielorrusia U19
BLR
25%
24%
52%
44 36 8 0
24 Sep. 2022
GER
Alemania U19
5 - 1
Bielorrusia U19
BLR
90%
8%
3%
44 67 23 0
21 Sep. 2022
BLR
Bielorrusia U19
1 - 1
Eslovaquia U19
SVK
14%
22%
64%
44 59 15 0