Little Common vs Varndeanians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Little Common
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAS
0 - 3
LCO
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 1
LCO
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
LCO
2 - 0
EAS
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 3
LCO
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
LCO
3 - 1
CRA
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
VAR
3 - 4
LIN
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 4
BRO
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
BEX
4 - 1
VAR
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 3
PEA
31%
21%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 2
ALF
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |