Lisse vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TER
2 - 1
LIS
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOO
2 - 2
LIS
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
LIS
5 - 1
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
RIJ
6 - 0
LIS
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 1
IJS
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 1
KOZ
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 4
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 4
GVV
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 2
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
KAT
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |