Lisburn Distillery vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 3
KNO
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 3
DER
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -3 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
LIS
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 3
AUN
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LCE
2 - 0
LIS
72%
16%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
KNO
2 - 2
LOU
60%
21%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 3
KNO
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AUN
1 - 2
KNO
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KNO
1 - 3
ARC
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
2 - 0
KNO
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |