Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 2
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
LIS
3 - 0
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 2
CRU
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
LIS
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
INS
2 - 3
LIS
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 2
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
INS
0 - 3
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
INS
77%
15%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |