Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
65.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 1
LIS
78%
15%
6%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 1
DUN
24%
21%
55%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 3
GLE
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 1
GLE
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 3
CRU
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 1
GLE
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DON
0 - 3
CRU
10%
19%
71%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | +1 |