Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 0
TOB
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DON
2 - 2
LIS
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIS
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 3
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CRU
6 - 1
PSN
83%
11%
5%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
CRU
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |