Lisburn Distillery vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LIS
0 - 2
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
5 - 2
LIS
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIS
6 - 1
OMA
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LIS
2 - 0
POR
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
ARD
0 - 1
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ARD
2 - 0
OMA
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 2
ARD
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIM
0 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ARD
2 - 2
LIN
30%
27%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |