Lioli vs Mazenod Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
LCS
1 - 1
LIO
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LIO
0 - 1
KLI
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 0
LIO
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
LIO
0 - 0
LDF
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
LIK
0 - 0
LIO
36%
28%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mazenod Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
MSW
0 - 3
BAN
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SEF
1 - 1
MSW
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
MSW
3 - 1
MFC
20%
20%
61%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CCX
1 - 0
MSW
80%
12%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MSW
1 - 2
KLI
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |