Lioli vs Lesotho Defense Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
LIO
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MSW
2 - 4
LIO
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 1
LDF
38%
29%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
LIO
2 - 1
MAT
36%
28%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 3
LIO
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho Defense Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LMP
2 - 0
LDF
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
LDF
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 1
LDF
38%
29%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
LDF
5 - 1
NBF
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 1
LDF
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |