Lioli vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 1
LIO
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LCS
0 - 1
LIO
48%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LIO
2 - 1
LMP
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 2
LIO
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LIO
4 - 1
MEL
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LDF
1 - 1
MPH
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LDF
0 - 2
BAN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NYE
3 - 1
LDF
47%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LCS
0 - 0
LDF
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LDF
2 - 0
LMP
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |