Lioli vs Joy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
LIO
0 - 0
MAT
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LIK
0 - 0
LIO
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MSW
1 - 0
LIO
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
JOY
3 - 1
LIO
47%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 0
LIO
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Joy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
JOY
1 - 0
MSW
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LPT
2 - 1
JOY
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MFC
3 - 1
JOY
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
JOY
3 - 1
LIO
47%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MSW
2 - 2
JOY
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |