Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 2
BAL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 3
LIN
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 1
GLE
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
WAR
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 4
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 2
INS
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
GLE
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 3
INS
35%
26%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |