Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LIS
0 - 0
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 0
LAR
81%
14%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
4 - 0
NEW
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIN
28%
24%
49%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
DON
1 - 1
LIN
18%
22%
61%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
INS
0 - 0
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
CLI
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |