Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
POR
0 - 0
LIN
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
LIN
1 - 0
OMA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
LIS
1 - 2
LIN
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
LIN
4 - 0
NEW
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
OMA
4 - 1
INS
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
INS
0 - 4
GLE
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
INS
1 - 0
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ARD
1 - 0
INS
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
INS
0 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |