UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 3-5
Linfield vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIN
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
LAR
2 - 4
LIN
27%
23%
50%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LIN
0 - 0
GLE
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
GOR
4 - 0
RUD
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
NKN
1 - 4
GOR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
NKP
1 - 3
GOR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
GOR
0 - 0
FCK
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |