Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
7 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
5 - 0
WAR
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
CLI
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
GLE
3 - 1
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 1
LAR
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
12%
21%
67%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 3
COL
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
WAR
4 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
GLE
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 2
GLE
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |