Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
LOU
0 - 4
LIN
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CLI
0 - 0
LIN
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
LIN
1 - 1
LAR
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
LIN
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
DUN
7 - 0
ARD
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 4
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 3
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
LIM
3 - 2
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GLE
5 - 0
DUN
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |