Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CLI
2 - 2
LIN
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 2
GLE
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
45%
24%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 5
CRU
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |