Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 1
BAL
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
LIN
27%
25%
49%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CLI
3 - 2
LIN
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
GLE
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 0
CLI
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 1
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 2
CLI
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |