Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
LIN
2 - 4
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LIN
4 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 5
LIN
15%
22%
62%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LIN
5 - 0
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CRU
4 - 0
COA
71%
17%
13%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
0 - 0
CRU
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 3
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 5
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CRU
5 - 1
BAN
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |