Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
LIN
7 - 0
INS
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIN
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
DZG
1 - 1
LIN
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 2
DZG
24%
23%
53%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BAN
0 - 5
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
INS
1 - 1
CRU
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |